Election 2010: Stephen Pollard's Analysis


The old joke is that when Mao Tse Tung was asked what had been the consequences of the French Revolution, he replied that it was too soon to tell.

Here we are, on Friday afternoon, and we still have no firm idea of the consequences of the results. All three party leaders have spoken, and the ball seems to be firmly in David Cameron’s court (or perhaps I should say Nick Clegg’s) but, as last night itself showed, nothing in this election is predictable.

For what it’s worth, I don’t see a fully-fledged coalition on the cards, only an agreement not to vote down core legislation by the LibDems, in return for some promises. What those promises are, of course, and from whom, are the meat of it.

Martin Bright has looked at the Jewish votes. I’ll add only this: I don’t think there will be much of a change in policy towards Israel unless (very unlikely) Nick Clegg becomes Foreign Secretary – in which case things will get very grim.

But under any conceivable Labour leader, or Cameron, there’ll be a basic understanding of Israel’s position. And the fact of a minority government is, in this case alone, neither here nor there.

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