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International order must be based in reality

Events in Venezuela, Somaliland and Iran have highlighted the growing tension between international law and a shifting world order

January 7, 2026 09:27
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Iran's supreme leader Ali Khamenei (left), during a state television broadcast in June 2025, and Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro aboard the USS Iwo Jima after being seized by US forces in Caracas on January 3 (Getty Images/Truth Social)
2 min read

Recent events, from Venezuela to Somaliland to Iran and West London, have highlighted the growing tension between international law and the realities of a shifting world order.

Consider Venezuela. A common criticism of the US capture of Nicolás Maduro is that it has undermined Washington’s moral authority to oppose dictators such as Vladimir Putin or Xi Jinping. This argument rests on the assumption that international law, despite its limited enforcement mechanisms, functions in a manner comparable to domestic law.

In practice, it does not. It operates more as a framework of norms than as a binding system. Such arrangements depend on a degree of consent that is notably absent among strongmen such as Putin and Xi, narco-terrorist regimes such as Maduro’s, and Islamist regimes such as Iran’s, which reject the legitimacy of the system while paying lip service to it.

Whatever one’s view of the legality of US action in Venezuela, and regardless of whether it ultimately improves conditions there, it is unlikely to encourage further aggression from Western adversaries. The opposite may be the case. By demonstrating both willingness and capacity to use force, the United States may have reduced the likelihood of a Chinese move against Taiwan or further Russian escalation in Europe. Deterrence, however uncomfortable the conclusion, has historically depended less on legal argument than on credible consequences.

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