One of the enduring myths of football is that a club which does not seek to improve its playing staff in the summer stagnates, or stands still. It does nothing of the sort. It goes backwards, because all around, rivals with previously weaker teams address their problems, strengthen and, in time, overtake. In the years when Arsene Wenger worked with budget restrictions, Arsenal may have idled, but their opponents did not, which is why Wenger’s team fell through the mini-group at the top of the Premier League table from first place to fourth. A club does not have to sell its best players to go backwards; inertia can be equally harmful.
And so to Newcastle United who are not so much standing still, as stepping into a tray of setting cement and preparing to take a header off the Tyne Bridge. It has long been the case that club strategy seems to be decided by Mike Ashley, the owner, gathering all of his advisers in a room and asking them: “What would a complete madman do in this situation?” But even by Ashley’s standards the reaction to relegation from the Premier League has been particularly deranged.
Everything is on hold while the club is sold. As it is, no buyer is going to make the same mistake as Ashley when he bought the club two years ago, rushing to seal the deal without first completing due diligence, so there could be some delay.
Ashley got a few nasty surprises as reward for his haste and no future investor will hand over £100m before discovering the precise dimensions of this black and white hole.
From Ashley’s personal perspective it may make sense to keep the business in suspended animation before the new owner emerges, but for Newcastle United it is a disaster. Alan Shearer alluded to this on the final day of last season when, surveying the wreckage of the club, he said that with each passing day, a new room in the house burned down. He said he knew what had to be done and would be spelling it out to Ashley; he has been told that two prospective suitors want him as manager, but no more.
Officially, the go-to guy on football matters at Newcastle right now is Chris Hughton, a powerless low-ranking club employee. He could no more make an important judgement call than Ashley could go walkabout in the Gallowgate End again.
In the meantime, each member of the player squad is up for sale, with no thought towards those who might wish to stay and could do a job in the Championship next season. While no firm tactic exists, no vision, no direction, Newcastle nosedive, falling further every time a Championship rival makes a trade or alights on a strategy.
Newcastle do not plan on staying long in the second tier; but never forget there are two exit routes. That the only way is up is another myth. Newcastle may be some way from rock bottom yet; ask the fans of Leeds United.
Martin Samuel is the chief sports writer of the Daily Mail, where his column appears on Monday and Wednesday