Become a Member
Jonathan Boyd

ByJonathan Boyd, Jonathan Boyd

Opinion

We are divided — but we can work together

'We may all be Jews, but if our preferences in the American presidential election are indicative, we differ significantly in terms of our core values.'

November 12, 2020 14:24
President-elect Joe Biden
3 min read

Although a winner has now emerged in the American presidential race, it is difficult not to see America as a profoundly divided country. Proportionately, the popular vote was split more or less equally between the two main candidates, about 51 to 48 per cent, and in terms of votes cast, both Biden and Trump broke the 70 million barrier, more than any other American presidential candidate, winner or loser, in history.

On the face of it, Jewish Americans appear to be rather more unified. US Jews have long been known to favour the Democrats: the closest Jewish Americans have come in the past half century to showing a Republican preference occurred in 1980 when 46 per cent voted for Ronald Reagan, in an election he won against the incumbent Jimmy Carter by a landslide. But over that same period, the average split has been 74/26 per cent in favour of the Democrats. It has fluctuated a little, rising as high as 84/16 in favour of Bill Clinton in 1992, but the general pattern has been remarkably consistent.

Just before this year’s election, there was some suggestion that the balance had shifted somewhat. One poll, sponsored by the Republican Jewish Coalition (RJC), found that Jewish votes for Biden and Trump were split two-thirds to one-third in favour of Biden, and RJC quickly proclaimed that the Republican Jewish vote hadn’t been so high since Reagan’s day. But two other polls — one from the left-leaning JStreet, and another from the more neutral American Jewish Committee (AJC) — found splits of 79/21 and 77/23 per cent in favour of Biden (after removing the ‘don’t knows’ and any preferences for candidates other than Biden or Trump), suggesting that little has really changed. The Democrat leaning appears to be as strong as ever.

Yet looking a little closer, Jewish Americans are rather less unified than the simple figures suggest. The Jewish denominational differences are particularly striking. In the JStreet study, just seven per cent of Reform Jews and 28 per cent of Conservative Jews had a favourable view of Trump, where the equivalent proportion among Orthodox Jews was 75 percent. Favourability towards Biden showed the same pattern in reverse: 87 percent of Reform Jews and 65 percent of Conservative Jews favoured him, compared to just 19 percent of the Orthodox.