Mid-terms: some silver linings


By Jennifer Lipman
November 4, 2010
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1948_DeweyDefeatsTruman56976.jpg

1948_DeweyDefeatsTruman56976.jpg

So, the mid-terms have been and gone. As predicted, what was once blue is now stained red. The Democrats lost big and President Obama is no longer the messianic figure he once was.

And as has been widely trumpeted, this is just about the worst result for the Democrats since 1948. But, looking back to the election of that year, it’s worth noting that people seem to have more confidence in Obama than they did in Harry Truman.

Because despite having been president since 1945, it was considered so unlikely that Truman could win of his own accord that one paper actually went to press (before the results came in) touting a victory for his opponent.

Red faces all round for the Chicago Tribune, and their “Dewey Defeats Truman” headline.

But it’s two years until Obama faces reelection, and despite the numbers it’s way too soon to write him off. Plus, not everything that has come out of the mid-terms is bad.

For one, Rich Iott – better known as the dude who still thinks dressing up as a Nazi is a good idea – was resoundingly beaten. Longtime congresswoman for the Democrats, Marcy Kaptur, kept the Ohio seat with 59 per cent of the vote.

For another, in the New York gubernatorial election Andrew Cuomo had no trouble seeing off Carl Paladino, a slightly bizarre Tea Party Republican who sent mail out smelling of “eau de two-day-old chopped garlic” as a way to slam his opponent.

Paladino, of course, is the very same man who went to a strictly Orthodox Jewish area and slammed homosexuality, saying “I don't want [my children] brainwashed into thinking that homosexuality is an equally valid and successful option - it isn't.”

Another friendly Tea Party fellow, one Rabbi Nachum “surfer” Shifren, also lost his bid for a state senate seat. Perhaps it was because he was too busy standing on the same platform as those friendly folk from the English Defence League to build support in California.

In general, it seems to have been a good result for equality. There are now four openly gay congressmen (with the election of David Cicilline in Rhode Island, three of them are Jewish).

True, the number of women elected is expected to fall for the first time in three decades, but the daughter of Sikh Indian immigrants is the new Governor of South Carolina, despite a campaign marred with sexism and racism, and Alabama has just voted in its first ever black congresswoman.

And I’d rather any day that a genuinely good male candidate won an election over a woman (Meg Whitman, in California) who spent $140 million of her own money on the campaign (in a state with a $20 billion deficit).

Most of all, take comfort in this. Sarah Palin, at present, is not in office.

COMMENTS

telegramsam

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 16:48

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Another bit of good (or bad, depending on your prejudices) news is that according to a post-vote poll, more than two-thirds of American Jews voted for Democratic Party candidates. A vast majority think Obama is doing a good job and want to see more US involvement in the Middle East, including exerting pressure on both sides.


Anthony Posner

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 16:57

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JL,

Well done for mentioning The EDL in an article about the mid-term US elections.


Anthony Posner

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 17:01

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JL,

Your conclusion is a non-sequitur..

"Most of all, take comfort in this. Sarah Palin, at present, is not in office."


Jon_i_Cohen

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 17:06

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Not so!
In a post vote study of American Jewish voters, McLaughlin and Associates reported that 42% would support Obama's re-election,46% said they would support another candidate.
Among Orthodox/Chasidic voters, 69% said they would support someone else, in comparison to 17% who supported Obama.
Among Conservative-affiliated voters, the proportion was 50% to 38%.
Reform Jews, by a slim majority of 52% supported Obama, 36% said they would consider someone else.
50% of the Jewish voters polled in this study expressed support for the president’s handling of U.S. relations with Israel; 39% said they disapproved.
These numbers become significant when one realizes that Obama received nearly 80% of the Jewish vote just two years ago.
There is an overwhelming American Jewish backlash AGAINST B.Hussein Obama - in fact those Jews that voted for him now rue the day.
There will be an overwhelming defeat for the Democrats in two years time.
In the interim no significant policies can be introduced without the agreement of the Republicans.


telegramsam

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 17:09

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McLaughlin and Associates? And they are…? Keep on wishing, JIC.


Anthony Posner

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 17:09

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Jon,

JL is attempting to write some "spin" on a disastrous result for The Democrats.
I don't know why she bothers with The JC. She should be on Oprah!


Jon_i_Cohen

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 17:10

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Anthony
Sarah Palin is a breath of fresh air, and not only will she obviously get the Republican vote and nomination, she is also going to get the "womens" vote.
Many female Democrats will cross over and vote for her as she epitimises the "American Hockey Mom".


Jon_i_Cohen

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 17:12

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Mr T.Rex Fan
It's not a wish but a fact!


telegramsam

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 17:12

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McLaughlin and Associate's client list:
POLITICAL CLIENTS

People and organizations with whom the personnel of McLaughlin & Associates have been involved include:

* Republican National Committee
* National Republican Senatorial Committee
* National Republican Congressional Committee
* Republican Governors Association
* Alabama Republican Party
* California Republican Party
* Florida Republican Party
* Illinois Republican Party
* Kentucky Republican Party
* Montana Republican Party
* New York State Republican Party
* New York State Conservative Party
* North Carolina Republican Party
* Ohio Republican Party
* South Dakota Republican Party
* Virginia Republican Party
* Wisconsin Republican Party
* Illinois House Republican Campaign Committee
* Indiana House Republican Campaign Committee
* Indiana Senate Majority Campaign Committee
* New Jersey Republican State Senate Committee
* New York Republican Assembly Campaign Committee
* New York State Senate Republican Campaign Committee
* Nassau County Republican Committee
* Conservative Party (Canada)
* Conservative Party (United Kingdom)
* Likud Party (Israel)

Can you spot the common denominator?


telegramsam

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 17:14

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I wouldn't be at all surprised if they held meetings with white sheets on their heads


Anthony Posner

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 17:17

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Jon,
I think that The Republicans will have to come up with someone better than Palin.


Dan Judelson

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 17:24

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Of those US Jewish citizens who identify as religious, the largest group is the Reform, followed by the Conservative, with around half that number affiliating to Orthodox congregations. That's about 3m, maybe 3.1m.

That doesn't include the non affiliated Jews. There's around another 3m of them.

And surely JiC is not suggesting that the casting of the Jewish vote determines the outcome of US Presidential elections?


amber

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 17:25

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tsam, speaking as an American, Obama has been an unmitigated disaster. He has driven debt to levels that can never be repaid, and got precisely nothing in return in terms of job creation or growth. He has emboldened America's enemies, whilst treating America's friends like crap - like India, Israel, and including the UK, which he hates, due to his father's connections with the insurgency in Kenya against the British. He is the first post-American president, and the sooner he goes, the less damage he will inflict. Oh, and he sat in a church with a virulently antisemitic pastor for 20 years - then claimed he didn't know. So he's a liar as well.


telegramsam

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 17:26

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What's wrong with Palin? He was fantastic in Monty Python, especially in "The Spanish Inquisition" and "The Dead Parrot" sketches. He was good in a Fish Called Wanda and in the travel shows he did.


telegramsam

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 17:31

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But Amber, you thought that before he came to power too. So whatever Obama did, it wouldn't have mattered to you. And who got the US into the economic mess? The banks with their sub-prime lending, the Fanny Mays, the insurance companies and their lobbyist friends. And who did they back? The Bush republicans, who created a huge mess by waltzing into Iraq and Afghanistan without a plan.


Anthony Posner

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 17:33

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DJ,

Obama would have lost the Presidential election if he had not won New York and California. So Jews were crucial. And he knows it.


telegramsam

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 17:37

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Anthony, that's almost anti-semitic. It's like saying Jews control who rule America. That's disgraceful. You are worse than Stephenb


Anthony Posner

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 17:58

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demographics


telegramsam

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 18:07

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Anthony, demographics? You are saying that the Jewish vote won the election in NY and Cal. How many Jews are there in NY state? 1.6 million out of a total population of 19 million. And California? 1.2 million out of 37 million. So the Jews in those states, barely 10 per cent in NY and under 4 per cent in Califiornia, determine the outcome of the US elections? That's exactly what the anti-semites say. I call upon you to sequester yourself pending an inquiry into your anti-semitic outbursts. You will be informed of the outcome in due course and in the fullness of time.


Anthony Posner

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 18:09

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If It is true that American Jewry is ditching the Democrats, then Obama will be very unhappy about it. Of course, he only has himself to blame. But why they were stupid enough to vote for him in the first place is unfathomable.


telegramsam

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 18:11

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Anthony, to paraphrase Ali G, your dislike of Obama "is it coz he is black?"


Anthony Posner

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 18:12

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tsam,

I am not gong to argue % with you.

One vote could determine the outcome of the next US election. And it could be a Jewish American who casts it.


Anthony Posner

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 18:14

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If New York and California go Republican, Obama is tickets.


Anthony Posner

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 18:16

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Why bring race into it? He could be a Hassidic Jew for all I care.


telegramsam

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 18:20

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But Anthony you claimed that Jews were crucial to him winning NY and Cal and therefore the presidency. That's saying that Jews control the US political system and the commander in chief. That's anti-semitism on a much worse scale than Stephenb's. You must cease and desist posting here until a inquiry has been concluded into this disgraceful outburst. In the fullness of time and in due course you will be informed of the outcome.


Anthony Posner

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 18:21

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Jews and Hispanics did it. I blame them both.


Anthony Posner

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 18:33

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The irony is that US Jewry, in league with Obama, have been hell-bent on destroying Israel. The truth is actually the opposite of the Walt Mearsheimer thesis.


Anthony Posner

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 18:37

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People like Dershowitz and David Harris have a lot to answer for. They are much more dangerous than Norm Finkelstein.


amber

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 18:51

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Uh, no tsam. The fannie Mae and Freddie Mac debacle was the fault of the Clinton era, when they were both pressured to lend to low income people who couldn't afford to repay. They are both Democrat institutions.


amber

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 18:52

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And you're right, I foreaw the problems of Obama, because anyone who actually looked at his past associations, including terrorists and antisemites, knew where this was heading.


Anthony Posner

Thu, 11/04/2010 - 18:55

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amber,

I saw a photo of The Obamas having dnner with Eddie Said. Say no more.


amber

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 12:48

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Anthony, try unrepentent members of the weathermen - murderers in fact.


Anthony Posner

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 12:58

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Amber,

And of course, Obama had to disown Jeremiah Wright half-way through the campaign. Yet, US Jewry was still stupid enough to vote for him.


telegramsam

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 12:59

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Anthony, is that the same US Jewry that controls who gets elected? Do they control the media and the banks, too?


Anthony Posner

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 13:12

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Tsam,

Re-read my above comments for my views.

A handful of voters in Florida got George W Bush re-elected. So of course, a few million Jews can swing it in America.


telegramsam

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 13:19

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Anthony, that's exactly what the anti-semites say.


Anthony Posner

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 13:38

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tsam,

Every vote counts. Even Jewish votes. One state can swing an election.

The fact that at the last election, the vast majority of American Jewry sided with a candidate who believes that "engaging" with Israel's enemies is the way forward, leaves one to hope that, next time, they might see the error of their ways. However, I would not bank on it.


Kahina

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 13:45

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Americans Jews did wake up. Halleluja!

And Jennifer, they didn't "stain" it red. As blue transits to red, it makes a beautiful purple colour, which is what we're seeing now.

When you know the facts about Obama, and you have a conscience for Israel, you have no choice but to vote Republican. See my post of last week: Why Do American Jews Vote for Their Enemies ???

I'm taking comfort knowing that 2012 is not far off and hopefully Sarah Palin will be swept in. G-d bless her.


Kahina

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 13:46

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telegramsam

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 13:47

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Anthony, you can't help yourself. You specifically singled out Jewish votes as being those which controlled NY and Cal and therefore the result of the US Presidential election. That's what the anti-Semites say.


Anthony Posner

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 13:52

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ipanics for Obama.Tsam,

As I said above I blame Jews and Hispanics for Obama. I think that if they had voted Republican, Obama would not have won. New York and California swayed it for him.


telegramsam

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 13:58

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No, Anthony, you started with the Jews. You only came on to the Hispanics when you were caught out. You are no different than John Mearsheimer and Stephen Walt.


Jon_i_Cohen

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 13:58

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The Republican Party picked up the governorships in the key presidential election states of Ohio and Pennsylvania and other swing states, giving them a tremendous advantage ahead of the upcoming presidential campaign. No-one has yet declared that they will seek the party's nomination, but several contenders have already built fund-raising operations and paid repeated visits to the early primary battleground states of Iowa and New Hampshire. They including the former governor of Massachusetts, Mitt Romney, and soon-to-be-former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty
The Democrats will have to be prepared for a whitewash in the race to the whitehouse.
Sarah Palin - the first woman President?
There'll be no messing with her finger on the Nuclear button, Iran and their Jihadi friends will have to watch out.


Anthony Posner

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 13:59

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Ironically Black voters in America were probably not responsible, especially in The South, which went Republican


Anthony Posner

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 14:01

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I am the reverse of Walt amd Mearsheimer. American Jewry sided with Israel's enemies. Their thesis is rubbish.


telegramsam

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 14:03

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I don't know how good you are at history, JIC, but FDR lost both houses in the mid-terms of his first term. There was even talk of him being beaten by Charles Lindebergh (and we all know what he thought about Jews). But look what happened to FDR.


telegramsam

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 14:04

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Anthony you make the same claim as Walt and Mearsheimer, that Jewish votes control who gets into the White House. Do Jews control the banks and media too in your view?


amber

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 15:51

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I would suggest that Ms Lipman knows nothing about US politics.

Palin would be a good friend of Israel. Obama hates Israel.


telegramsam

Fri, 11/05/2010 - 15:53

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Michael Palin is a good friend of Israel? Wasn't he the lisping Pontius Pilate in Life of Brian? Do you think he will "welease woddewick"?

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